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weather ezine #008

july 2000

by Ken Ring

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Intro
Weather: coming
All Australians
Q's and A's
Websites
Contact


Intro:
I hope you remember in the last e-zine we said expect REALLY big tides and a fair bit of unsettled weather after the weekend, especially gales. Also within a couple of days of the weekend a very large earthquake may be in the news? Augie, last week on TV3, looked at the low coming around Thursday and said it was peaking and would most likely peter out. It wasn't and didn't. Weather Ambassador Bob McDavitt said(Herald 29th June,pA3; "the bad weather would largely clear by the weekend..") It didn't and still hasn't. Meteorologists know next-to-nothing of the Moon and its effects. I say to ignore the weather consequences of the closest Moon for the year (July 1st) is to be ostrich-like. Commenting on my 80% accuracy, Bob had added(Herald 6/1/00)that if I wanted to know more of what was happening I was going to have to study meteorology. But in this instance it doesn't seem to have done him much good.
And was there an earthquake? Sure. Magnitude 6.1 in Honshu, Japan July 1st.

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Weather: coming
This bad weather should finally clear in the Auckland area about 6th. July's rainfall average for Auckland is around 100-150mm at this time of the lunar nodal cycle, and already that has been exceeded in many areas. Average rainfall doesn't vary all that much, despite sudden downpours. So disregarding present appearances we can confidently predict a fairly dry rest-of-month.

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All Australians
NZ sits on an undersea shelf that extends from Australia eastwards and beyond. You have to go some 200km east of Wairarapa before you drop off this one and onto the Pacific Shelf. I don't want to upset people, but if you like, we are all Australians.

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Q's and A's

Q: The below web-site is (among other things) about INDIGENOUS WEATHER MODIFICATION. The gentleman who owns the website is, I believe, highly intelligent, a schoolmaster & possibly of Maori descent. A fellow astrologer told me that she went out with the man & with little ritual at all MADE IT RAIN. She said that she saw it happen. He claimed to have broken Aucklands 1994 water drought. IS ALL THIS NONSENSE? I cannot say.
(I.W.)

A: Well now, he must have a vicious streak in him as regards Auckland. Whatever his point is, he MUST have made it by now. If he WAS responsible, then perhaps the indigenous ones among us are liable for all the thousands of dollars in flood damage (if he is indeed of the indigenous persuasion). Which means a possible windfall for the government, so they should be told. I hope he will tell us well in advance exactly when the next downpour will be made, so we can vouch for his abilities. So he was highly intelligent and she saw it happen? I suppose there's no shortage of highly intelligent idiots. Some probably equally intelligent people once saw the Emperor's Clothes, too. Thankfully there was a sensible small boy around that day. At the moment we are short of such levelheaded guides. I say not nonsense, but unabashed absolute pure and unadulterated nonsense. I'm sorry if I appear vague in saying that. If anyone could make it rain there's an absolute FORTUNE waiting for them in India at the moment - only a FOOL would stay a NZ school-teacher when masses and masses of money await them on the eternal drought fronts. So if he's a fool then he's not highly intelligent, is he! So therefore maybe he can't make it rain either. Q.E.D.


Q: Was wondering about the state of a few islands in the Pacific, what do you think is the cause of these islands reducing landmass? Is it due to rising water, sinking landÝ or, as you have discussed in your site, part of the 19 years cycle?
Aaron

A: Mainly sinking land. Atolls are like that. Also, being narrow means they are subject more to erosion, which is on the 18.6 year cycle, in which greater erosion occurs at the top end(around 2004-6)due to greater lunar angular velocity as it crosses the equator twice per month. Forget rising seas, as they would be rising everywhere, and they're not. Highwater mark at Mission Bay is same as it always was.


Q: You have a very interesting site...don't mean to be negative, after all a forecast is only a forecast. Whakapapa is the ski village on Mt Ruapehu. Saturday happened to be completely cloud free on the mountain, to the point where I was sunburnt. And YOU said, for Whakapapa it would be cloudy....for which I was very pleased that you happened to be wrong.
SueÝ

A: Thanks for replying Sue. I like it when I'm wrong too - makes one think! My forecast to you, even though you requested Whakapapa, was for Taumaranui and central North Island, for which I have past records, and I assumed it would do for Whakapapa. I should have prefaced that I don't have specific records for Ruapehu. I do know the mountain, as I was once an assistant ranger. Cloud can come up while you're blinking. Clearly my mistake was that when I said cloud it referred to low stuff, that would have been below the snowline anyway. Had you glanced north you probably would have seen the cloud around, say Rotorua. So; sorry, but as you seem to be pleased anyway I guess we're square.

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Interesting Websites

Indigenous person claims to make weather occur
http://twm.co.nz/

Ordain yourself a minister
http://ulc.org/ulc/

NASA pics of all Earth from space
http://earth.jsc.nasa.gov/

Astrology in NZ
http://homepages.ihug.co.nz/~lianne9/

World's newspapers
http://www.onlinenewspapers.com/

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Contact
Editor:
Ken Ring
Phone: land. 09-817-7625, fax. 09-817-2203, mobile 021 970-696
Postal: P.O.Box 60197 Titirangi, Auckland 7, New Zealand.
E-mail: ken@weatherman.co.nz
Internet: http://www.predictweather.com
Subscribe: Send a blank email to weather-subscribe@topica.com.
Contributions: The editor reserves the right to include or exclude contributions submitted. Comments or questions for Q's and A's should be addressed to ken@weatherman.co.nz
Disclaimer: The contents of this document are the views and opinions of the editor and/or associates only, and carry no guarantees as to accuracy. No responsibility will be undertaken by the editor or webmaster for actions or outcomes on the part of readers as a result of information contained herein. Opinions expressed by contributors and reprinted are likewise their own and may or may not reflect the views of the editor or the webmaster.
Copyright: This e-zine is subject to international copyright laws but may be freely distributed to all interested parties; except for purposes of unauthorized commercial gain. All Rights Reserved (c) Ken Ring 2000.

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