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weather ezine #022

febuary 2001

by Ken Ring

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Another coincidence
Past crossings of equator
Predicted earthquakes
Got Sunday/Monday wrong
Weekend forecast
Fishing great
Media watch
Letters
Contact


Another coincidence

I notice that (1)the recent earthquakes in El Salvador and Indonesia occurred 14th, just after the moon crossed the equator which is always a risk time, and (2)El Salvador went a month(so a moon cycle)after the last lot in the same place to the very day. Eva Radich on National Radio has been calling that an amazing coincidence. I'll say. We sure live in coincidental times.
Here's some more of that coincidental activity - geothermal, earthquake, heavy rain, and eruptions; on either North declination, South declination or equatorial crossings of the moon:
Napier earthquake, Feb. 1931: Full moon, N declination and perigee all on THAT day.
Edgecumbe earthquake, March 1987:Ý Moon crossed equator PREVIOUS day, 3 days after New.
Jakarta earthquake, June 2000: New Moon, N declination and perigee all on THAT day.
Freak hail in Wairarapa, January 2001: Full moon, N declination and perigee all on THAT DAY.
Volcano Mt Popacatepetl, Mexico, 18th Dec. 2000: moon crossing equator THAT DAY.
Mt Popa again, 25th Dec. 2000: New moon and S declination THAT DAY. (A plume of ash reached a height of 3km).
El Salvador, 14th Jan. 2001: moon crossed equator the NEXT day, perigee couple of days before.
El Salvador, 13th Feb. 2001: moon crossed equator PREVIOUS day, perigee four days before.
Earthquake in India, 26th Jan. 2001: two days after New Moon; but S declination and apogee both occurring THAT day.
Rotorua eruption in the park; SAME date as above India earthquake.

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Past crossings of equator

Further to the discussion in the previous paragraph, almost a match to the day moonwise, these disasters occurred that matched the date of this month's El Salvador earthquake.
1981 - Tornado at Bay Minette Alabama strikes middle school. The school's gymnasium was severely damaged and several students injured. (N. declination 15th Feb. 1981)
1983 - Heavy snow brought much of the East from northeast Georgia to eastern Maine to its knees. Up to 35 inches of snow fell at Glen Gary, West Virginia, 22 inches in New York City. 19 inches fell at Windsor Locks, CT in twelve hours to set a record. Single storm records were set in Pennsylvania at Allentown (25.2 inches) and Philadelphia (21.3 inches). (Crossing eq. 16th Feb. 1983)
1988 - Big east coast snowstorm. 26.1 inches fell at Camden NY. 26 inches fell at Chester MA. 24 inches fell at Berlin NH and Rocester VT. (S. declination 13th Feb. 1988)
1989 - Snow in Tampa and Daytona Beach? Yes, it really happened on this date as Florida experienced its most widespread snowstorm in history. Two inches fell in Savannah, one of only three times that snowfall in the city required a ruler for measurement. Charleston SC picked up 3.9 inches of snow. (N. declination 15th Feb. 1989)

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Predicted earthquakes

In the last ezine we said "Watch out El Salvador, Japan and Indonesia..." As luck would have it, earthquakes actually occurred on the 8th, all above 5 which is quite big, in:
India 5.1
El Salvador 5.4
Japan (Kuril Is) 5.7

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Got Sunday/Monday wrong

Readers will note that Sunday and Monday saw rain that did not appear in my forecast. The fact is, in my records the predicted weather maps(as in my book Weather Almanac 2001) had a reasonable match to what was in the papers and there was probably potential for rain a moon cycle back then, as the moon crossed the equator - but it didn't fall so wouldn't have been recorded.Ý In fact the temp. did drop just over the equivalent to those two days one cycle ago and I failed to make anything of it. I can only say yes, I got it wrong, sorry, and point out rather feebly that I do not always claim 100% accuracy.

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Weekend forecast

Last ezine we said it would be dry now right to the 16th Feb. in Auckland, interrupted only by some cloud on Thursday. That seems to be holding true, although today(Thursday) brought a little drizzle in the morning as well. For Auckland, Saturday looks like drizzle with worse on Sunday, with a fine week next week, and heavier rain the following Saturday.

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Fishing great

Weekend fishing will only be average. 19th and 20th are bad, 21st average, but best fishing according to the moon will be 22nd -24th.

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Media watch

Letters sent to Herald but which so far haven't seen print

Dear Editor
Suzanne McFadden's article in Saturday's Herald about Antarctic ice receding due to global warming is more alarmist nonsense. We are informed that Sir Peter Blake has found lower ice thickness in waters no boat has been before, in waters unchartered. To what then is it to be compared? We are also told the average temperature has increased about 1.4degC since the 1970s. So? A degree or so in 30 years is hardly going to make anything in the minus range thaw. Perhaps the presumably intelligent Sir Peter hasn't noticed that it is midsummertime down there and so some ice is bound to melt around the edges anyway.
Ken Ring
Titirangi
10/2/01


Dear Editor
Ministry of Agriculture spokesman J. Jackman (Herald 12/2/01 p D5) says global warming will mainly help NZ agriculture for grape and kiwifruit growers as well as dairy farmers. If anyone would know I guess he would. So why are we planning a carbon tax to discourage emissions? And why are politicians still claiming that our economy is being threatened?
Ken Ring
Titirangi
15/2/01

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Letters

Hi Ken
Remembered comments last month pertaining to the moon as they regarded the recent bout of earthquakes globally. A similar pattern of quakes has again hit some of those same areas after the recent perigee/full moon combo. Noticed that these quakes occurred not at the time of max perigee, but rather when the Moon reached nearer the Equator declinationally. Any thoughts would be appreciated.
Thanks,
Paul
(To put it very simply, this was again one of those cases where the perigee loosens things and then when the moon comes flying past the middle, (the equator)relatively speaking, the lunar pull just makes that final drag on the plates. Speed is a factor, as the moon is going faster past the equator than when at declinations north or south, it is traveling for a time parallel to earth's orbit without any angular velocity. As you have picked up, it is not at all unusual to have a quake on the equatorial crossing immediately following a perigee-K)


Ken
I'm continuing to spread the word.Ý Last night in Ruatoria was talking to a Maori chap and he started telling me about how for many years he has done all manner of things by the moon- eg hunting and fishing.Ý He said he became so aware of it, it was like the moon became his best friend but eventually he had to take steps to black out his curtains over full moon to lessen its influence.Ý I have put him onto your website.
Paul

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Contact
Editor:
Ken Ring
Phone: land. 09-817-7625, fax. 09-817-2203, mobile 021 970-696
Postal: P.O.Box 60197 Titirangi, Auckland 7, New Zealand.
E-mail: ken@weatherman.co.nz
Internet: http://www.predictweather.com
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Copyright: This e-zine is subject to international copyright laws but may be freely distributed to all interested parties; except for purposes of unauthorized commercial gain. All Rights Reserved (c) Ken Ring 2000 - 2001.

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