Hi to those who have recently joined this ezine. We try to bring regular bulletins of weather to come and provide a forum for topical comment on climate and environment. Whereas the official forecasters tell us about weather yesterday, today and tomorrow; this space tries to look a little further ahead. I do not have all the answers, nor do I claim 100% accuracy, but then, neither does the metservice.
The northern declination(furthest point north in the moon's monthly north/south cycle) occurred on Friday. This always brings some showers, intermittent but generally few electrical storms. Mostly skies have been clear. Last Wednesday was the New Moon and on 27th, Sunday, the perigee - 11th greatest out of 13 for the year, so not a very dangerous one.
It is no coincidence that a flurry of earthquakes occurred in NZ last
week. The moon triggers earthquakes. There was a magnitude 6.2 quake in
Taumaranui which was felt as far away as Nelson and two others earlier in
the week in Seddon and Wellington.
The moon reached northern declination on Friday. Combined with a New Moon
and perigee you can always expect earthquakes. For instance it was a
declination Moon at perigee that caused the Napier earthquake in 1931,
also the Seattle quake in March of this year, the Sumatra quake last June
and also the huge shakes in India last January.
The moon in the northernmost position causes southern hemisphere
earthquakes at locations where the fault lines are oriented north/south,
and northern hemisphere earthquakes where fault lines are aligned
east/west. June 21st-24th should see another bundle of earthquakes because
the moon will be again in the same position.
Woo-hoo! The snow is GOOD! More falls are likely on the perigee and so into this coming week in all areas. For the absolute best information site with cam pictures of the skifields and what's happening right now, look up www.snow.co.nz
We said the weather would largely clear for this weekend, as a high approached from the west. When you think about it, in the whole 24 hour day, actual rain will only cover about 5 minutes. So you couldn't really call the weekend a rainy one (as the radio forecasts have been doing!).
Not too good for hanging out washing. We are likely to see fronts from tomorrow (Monday) pestering us through the week till around next Friday 1st June, then a high starting in the south and creeping up, pushing the nasty stuff to the right of the country by the next Monday (4th). Just like this one has been, next weekend should see some sunshine in most areas.
Good -30th.
Average: 28th, 29th, 31st.
Hi Ken
I've just finished reading all the info on your site. I'm no expert in
these matters but your argument certainly seems to make good common sense
to me. So if the whole ozone/global warming thing is a scam....who
benefits? Rule one in detective work is to find out who benefits from a
crime and have a good look at them. At this stage I can't quite see who
would be the beneficiary of such a massive fraud...maybe the sunscreen
companies and guys trying to sell beach front property in Nevada.
My wife and I have been laughing at (TV person) for years, what a plonker!
Our method of predicting the weather is to assume it will be the exact
opposite to whatever (..) says. Using this method we have a better average.
Hah! So much for modern technology eh.
I love your site Ken, I'm not a luddite but it's so good to raise the
middle finger to technology once in a while, it shows that we humans still
have the upper hand when it comes to thinking......who needs computer
generated weather models anyway? Come to think of it, who needs
computer-generated anything. Let's just go out there and do it ourselves.
Mike
(As to who befits from the ozone thing - there's a big list - skin cream
companies, the medical industry, research funded scientists (from our tax
dollars); newspapers sell more if they put out scary headlines; TV
advertisers (because everyone watches TV to get 'updates' and end up
watching the ads too)...there's more, like the Greenie party who
benefited, getting into parliament on emotional platforms one of which was
ozone-depletion; there's the likes of Greenpeace able to recruit more
subscribers by defining 'causes'; there's the good old distraction
potential from the state of the economy ensuing from dastardly
environmental reports, which all governments love; there's ammo for anyone
who fancies that they are caring environmentalists to lord it righteously
over the rest of us; there's the scaring of little children in schools
that keeps schools running on fear(..here's the thing to be scared about,
but don't worry because we, the wise and all-knowing masters are here to
protect you; just obey our commands); and a whole lot more beneficiaries
too. All the above make money because they create and maintain jobs. The
main loser gets to be truth, but meals on the table are to some more
important. As I was leaving a recent evening talk by the IPCC world
chairman, I overheard who I think were representatives of a certain
climate organization say that even if global warming wasn't true, the main
thing was to make money out of it. They were joking, but, you know..
-K)
Hi Ken
Looking at the moon early tonight the sky was very clear and I noticed not
only the waxing crescent but a faint outline of the whole disc ie dark
parts and all.Ý Was the moon reflecting light that had been reflected from
the earth?Ý I don't suppose the faint outline of the disk could have been
light refracting in some way around the dark side of the moon, directly
from the sun? In your book you say there is a point in the month when the
moon never dips below the horizon.Ý Why is this?
Paul
(Was the moon reflecting light that had been reflected from the earth?
Yep. Faint outline due to light refracting around the dark side, directly
from the sun? Nope, haven't heard of that. Point in the month when the
moon never dips below the horizon?Ý It's just a date thing. I think I was
a bit misleading there. The moon doesn't set on a particular day every 1st
quarter because it's into the next day, datewise, by the time the setting
time comes around. Similarly it doesn't rise on a particular day during
last Q, having risen already the day before and will do so again the day
after.
As to skimming above the horizon, if you go far enough south, like 60degS
lat, which is just past Cape Horn and quite a bit past Campbell Is, the
moon skims along the horizon most of the day when it's far enough south,
around rising and setting times. Just to give you a frame of reference, 90
deg lat is Antarctica proper and if you were down there and looked up,
you'd see no moon right now all day and night because it's too far
north(northern declination). But when the moon is in southern declination
mode you'd see the moon in the sky the whole day and night. It just keeps
circling above the horizon like a toy plane on a fixed string! - K)
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