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weather ezine #050

11th september 2001

by Ken Ring

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Greetings
Moon position
Earthquakes again
Accuracy check
Coming up what's going down
Hydrolake levels
Man not on the moon?
Fishing prospects
Correspondence
Contact


Greetings

Hi if you have just joined this newsletter, which looks behind the weather and way ahead and at the way the MOON creates our climate. These notes will be produced around significant weather events.

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Moon position

The moon reaches northern declination on Wednesday(tomorrow) morning. The September perigee is on the 16th which is next Sunday. It'll be the next closest for the year, actually the 4th, as compared to the August perigee which was the third closest. The moon also hits the 3rd quarter today..

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Earthquakes again

You may have noticed that not many earthquakes have hit the news lately. But this weekend will see another flurry, as the moon on Sunday hits perigee, coupled with a New Moon. The northern declination heralds the danger time which will continue until next Monday/Tuesday. The most likely time is moonrise or set on any of those five days, and the potential at-risk places on the globe are the South Is. on either Thursday, Sunday afternoon or Tuesday evening; Indonesia on Friday and Monday, and India, S America, or Fiji on Saturday or Sunday. Now that I've said that, of course due to Murphy's Law, they probably won't occur.

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Accuracy check

Most regions have experienced mainly dry weather between 3rd and 10th September, and this was predicted. How does that stack up against other websites? For a quite different view, go to http://www.weather.com/weather/local/NZXX0003 .Here's what they set out on September 6th: - scattered showers every day from September 6th until September 15th for Auckland. Duh. We have just had three days of clear blue skies and mostly-dryness looks set to continue until at least Thursday.

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Coming up what's coming down

On a 3rd Quarter moon, moonrise is just after midnight and moonset just before lunch. Any rain, snow or sudden heating(if summer) or cooling(winter)will occur after moonset. So any showers that are around will happen around lunchtime. Whatever was happening in that regard typically stops after moonrise. High tide on the Waitemata always occurs at moonset and rise.

We always get a bit of moisture around a northern declination. Conversely it 's the southern declination that brings dry weather conditions for a few days just beforehand. It is very probable that we'll see extreme weather around the world around and just following this weekend. There's a hurricane brewing right now in Bermuda. It'll also be a new moon, on the same day, Sunday, which is a day moon which means probably a clear weekend for most areas around here, perhaps some rain at night if there is any around but certainly rain in the few days shortly afterward. There'll be a bit of gusty wind blowing around the North Island mid this week and later in the week, but not so much down south.

Some clouding over could eventuate in the next day or so, then fine for most areas from13th-16th, a bit of rain after the 16th and not guaranteed fine weather again until 25th-30th. About a quarter of the days of this month will see wet conditions; this will double next month when most areas get rain on half the days of the month.

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Hydrolake levels

Meridian continues to play games to keep the prices high. This was received yesterday from Peter, who lives near Tekapo: Ken, Would you believe that yesterday afternoon (Sunday) Meridian Energy were again spilling water out of Lake Tekapo in the old Tekapo river bed, thereby bypassing Tekapo A and B power stations and also possibly Ohau A and B as well. We are being told we need to conserve power even though the lake levels have stabilized. If they have stabilized, why is Tekapo being drained again? Peter

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Man not on the moon?

A documentary last week showed the possibility that man may not have walked on the moon, and that the landing was fabricated. Here's my reasons for thinking the case wasn't proven.

The flag fluttered because it had a rigid pole across the top and hung free at the bottom, causing fluttering movement as it was set up.

The Russians, who were neck and neck with the US in the space race, would have set up a huge hue and cry if the US faked it, and we heard nothing.

In news footage at the time, the astronauts leapt in the air and landed huge distances away, more than they could have done if they jumped on earth, and that footage was strangely absent in this documentary.

The moonshot was on exactly the right DAY of the year. The July perigee was less than a week away, meaning they were saving 30,000 kms worth of fuel. Plus by picking the July perigee, closest for the whole year, they were saving themselves a further 10,000kms of fuel. If they went to those lengths to authenticate the faking, then surely they are not going to be careless with flags, dumb camera angles and substituted landscapes.

The fact that some areas were lit that should have been in shadow meant nothing, as they probably had movable reflect screens like wedding photographers have.

The production it would have taken to hide set up and the faking, and continue to hide it by assassinating whistle-blowing people would have been more effort than the moon shot itself.

The main guy claiming fake was the ex-rocket designer for NASA. Ex? Say no more. He was sacked so he had a grudge to bear. Why was he sacked? His rockets were no good. They kept malfunctioning. Once they got rid of him NASA started having successes.

They could just as easily have even faked the documentary. The cross-hairs behind objects in the photos could easily have been faked using Photoshop.

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Fishing prospects

11th: good 12th: average 13th: average 14th: bad 15th: bad 16th: average 17th: excellent

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Contact
Editor:
Ken Ring
Phone: land. 09-817-7625, fax. 09-817-2203, mobile 021 970-696
Postal: P.O.Box 60197 Titirangi, Auckland 7, New Zealand.
E-mail: ken@weatherman.co.nz
Internet: http://www.predictweather.com
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Contributions: The editor reserves the right to include or exclude contributions submitted. Comments or questions for Q's and A's should be addressed to ken@weatherman.co.nz
Disclaimer: The contents of this document are the views and opinions of the editor and/or associates only, and carry no guarantees as to accuracy. No responsibility will be undertaken by the editor or webmaster for actions or outcomes on the part of readers as a result of information contained herein. Opinions expressed by contributors and reprinted are likewise their own and may or may not reflect the views of the editor or the webmaster.
Copyright: This e-zine is subject to international copyright laws but may be freely distributed to all interested parties; except for purposes of unauthorized commercial gain. All Rights Reserved (c) Ken Ring 2000 - 2001.

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