Hi. Welcome to the weather ezine, which looks behind the weather and way ahead, and at the way the MOON creates our climate. This revives the ancient mathematical system of longrange weather forecasting, before words like satellite, computer or meteorology were dreamed up.
"Dear Ken
The Director of the Climate Change Project has made his decision on the
national interest organisations who have been allocated a time to speak at
the Summit on 12 December. Citizens for Truth about Climate Change did not
make the final selection based on the criteria for speaking sent out with
the invitations.
Thank you for your interest. You are of course welcome to attend all or any
part of the day, and to make a written submission by 21 December 2001.
Brenda Wallace,
Consultation Coordinator,
NZ Climate Change Project
Department of Prime Minister & Cabinet, Wellington
Ph: 04-918-3125 Fax: 04-918-3130 Mob: 025-239-7518
email: brenda.wallace@parliament.govt.nz
Website: http://www.climatechange.govt.nz.."
(This is the game they are playing re-global warming. No alternative voices will be heard. I have asked but received no reason why we were refused. The only option left seems to be to go along and interject. The venue is the Hauraki Room, Level 1, Aotea Center, from 9am-5pm on Wednesday 12th December. Perhaps if you are interested in joining our group, email me. The time is of course extremely inconvenient for working people, which is probably the whole idea. The Kyoto protocol has the potential to impose massive costs to the consumer on anything produced by industrial processes or imported.)
For Friday, December 7th.
Friday is the December perigee. Typical weather over a perigee is unsettled with increased winds and downpours. If no rain is about the weather can be hotter. The perigee moon in the northern hemisphere creates a larger air tide than normal which means when the tide is "out" during the day from lunchtime to midnight, a lower daytime tide is the result. This allows the cold of space to descend to lower altitudes, and by the same token the searing heat of the sun. Fishing is always better 2-3 days after the actual perigee day, as that's when fish come back inshore from the shelter of the deep. The Full Moon to Last Quarter period is generally unsettled and with Last Quarter occurring on the 8th, this period is nearly passed.
December is already a wetter month than November was in some parts of the country. Most places have had 40% more rainfall and the hydrolakes are 40% above normal for the time of year. Northland has had more than its December average already and Auckland has had about half its December average. We have also had record warmth, typical of Full Moon summer days. The overnight minimums have not been below 20°C in Hawkes Bay. Tuesday was the sunniest in Auckland for a while.
From Last Ezine (and still current)
Coming weather should be mostly dry until the end of this week. The weekend will see some more showers, mainly on Saturday around lunchtime. Next week will be mainly sunny too, packing in on the Friday. Then December will close down weather-wise, as far as long spells of fine weather goes. And a cyclone, the first of three this summer, is due to hit our shores around the 14th.
I was asked by a correspondent to look into the best dates to cross between our North and South islands . Knowing the wind directions in advance can assist in planning appropriately. The only winds ever likely to close ferry crossings are the southerlies, which tend to cause choppy seas and swells. Northerlies tend to blow the sea flat. So, in the interests of safety and comfort for small children and the elderly, here are my predicted dates for those wind patterns for December.
Southerlies (avoid): 5th-6th, 20th-21st, 25th.
Northerlies (okay): 12th-19th, 23rd-24th, 27th-30th.
(This information, updated each month, will appear on the Wellington forecast page on my website for at least the remainder of the summer).
April 9th, 1977 - Star
"Was It All Worth While?
A team of scientists has been engaged on research for two years to discover why eggs split so easily when they are boiled. And the solution seemed ridiculously simple. Eggs are got to the consumer so quickly these days that their air-cells, which grow with age, don't get time to enlarge enough to accommodate the egg contents that expand when boiled. Now Britain's Egg Marketing Board has to decide what to do with the information so exhaustively and expensively acquired. Reaction of the average citizen, even one troubled by eggs that crack when boiled, will probably be to express the hope that the scientists concerned will spend the next 10 years doing something more worthwhile.."
November 2000-Herald
"Icecap Yields Volcanic Secret
Deep below the frozen surface of the Arctic Ocean, scientists on a United States icebreaker have discovered an unexpected cauldron of activity, including underwater volcanoes and hot springs that may harbour previously unknown exotic marine organisms. The nine-week Arctic Mid-Ocean Ridge Expedition was backed by the US National Science Foundation. They discovered and mapped 12 previously unknown underwater volcanoes. They also retrieved evidence of a vast field of undersea vents known as "black smokers"- each serving as a super-heated oasis of life on the floor of the frigid ocean.."
(We are told Arctic ice melts in summer due to global warming)
http://www.gns.cri.nz/news/earthquakes/recent_quakes.html
http://www.vision.net.au/~daly/ipcc.htm
http://www.vision.net.au/~daly/shame.htm
http://www.vision.net.au/~daly/dalybio.htm
http://www.globalwarming.org
http://members.tripod.com/~bernardboyd0/index.html
http://www.geocities.com/bdfboyd/index.html
Hello Ken
I am writing to you in regards to your comments made on BFM almost a month
ago. I recall clearly you saying that the first week of December was goingto
be the hottest week of the year (pure sunshine) subsequently you have now
changed your forecast as stated in your "free month forecast". The weather
at the beginning of December was awful and not sunny like you said. Can you
please advise me as to why you have now changed your forecast.
regards,
Letitia
(If you ever hear me speak at a meeting, which I do often, I always hold up
a copy of the weather map for the day as it appears in the back page of the
Herald that morning. But whereas the Herald one was put together from
satellite information 12 hours before, mine was made up 660 days before (in
February 2000) and appears in my Weather Almanac that has been on sale in
bookshops since last November. My weathermaps are my starting point. I
arrive at them through a mathematical system. They are generally spot-on and
I stand by their accuracy. All the rest is interpretation, which can be
subject to human variation.
I frankly don't remember saying the first week
in December would be the hottest for the whole year. It doesn't sound like
me, because I wouldn't have believed it then or now. I'm sure I would have
said the hottest for the month, which I still believe. We are having
incredibly high temperatures at the moment, which is pushing humidity way
up. The barometer is also way up too, and the popular misconception is that
it goes down to mean rain. So the indications are for warm weather.
You
would have also heard me say on bFM that the period Full Moon to Last
Quarter is generally the rainiest of the month. And the perigee brings
extreme weather. We are between Full Moon and Last Quarter right now, and
the perigee is on the 7th. So there are ample reasons for rain to be around.
Two issues of ezine ago, I said that the 29th of December would bring
showers that would last a couple of days. In fact you are correct - the
showers did go a bit longer. But the rain we were getting came from the
warmth and not any storm activity. I changed my website because I wanted to
be a bit more wordy and specific for Auckland. Essentially the forecast
remains the same. - K)
Hi Ken,
I heard you on BFM a few months ago and since then have been (casually)
tracking your predictions... I'm impressed that the trends you predict are
usually pretty close - particularly given the chaotic nature of the
atmosphere. One thing I was wondering is if you've ever considered the solar
cycle / sunspot activity /magnetic field changes in your prediction models?
As an engineer I'm fully into your theory that the moon and it's gravity
dominate the atmosphere but I wondered if overlaying the 11 year (?) solar
cycle is something you've looked at.
I'm no expert but the atmosphere is
charged, and I seem to remember that lots of sunspot activity can have major
electromagnetic influences.
Great website as well... you address a few of
the things I've often wondered about but never seem to get the chance to
fully question (the mainstream dogma on global warming, sea levels etc).
Tony
(Clearly solar activity re sunspots affects magnetic storm formation, and
rain is ionically organised, because more thunderstorms and electrical
weather occurs when the moon is crossing the equator (like a
dynamo, magnetic fields passing through each other).
It appears that solar
activity must be correlated with planetary positions, because solar spots
can have no effect or some, depending on the opposition (on the other side
of the sun to us) or conjunction (on the same side as us) of the bigger and
closer planets.
My own feeling is that the moon acts as a shield, and
initially sets up the potential for weather by its gravitation on the
atmosphere. If it happens to occult (pass in front of) certain planets then
those planets have their influence by being blocked, by their absence. But
there are many times no planets are figuring and sun-spots are dormant.
Between 1650 and 1700 there were NO sunspots at all. But obviously during
that time there were still weather changes.- K)
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